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Posts: 38,079
Joined: Apr 29 2006
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Jun 18 2019 06:12am
Quote (Meridius @ Jun 18 2019 11:40pm)
the key sequence/order does not matter at all. As it is random the chances for one order to work is the same for another

2 door = 1/2 x 1/1 = 50% = expected pass after 2 tries
3 door = 1/3 x 1/2 x 1/1 = 16.6666% = expected pass after 6 tries
4 door = 1/4 x 1/3 x 1/2 x 1/1 = 4.16666% = expected pass after 24 tries
5 door = 1/5 x 1/4 x 1/3 x 1/2 x 1/1 = 0.83333% = expected pass after 120 tries
6 door = 1/6 x 1/5 x 1/4 x 1/3 x 1/2 x 1/1 = 0.13888% = expected pass after 720 tries

the total chance to do a reset is actually 1/1022. To explain it: once you passed a class you do not need to redo it once you failed the next mq. With that in mind you need to add the individual expected tries instead of multiply them.


Exactly... doesn't matter at all.

You just now posted detailed information he can relate too.
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