I placed several parlay tickets that included the following items:
World Cup Group E - Brazil 1st place -375
other countries within the group: Switzerland, Costa Rica, and Serbia
World Cup Group F - Germany 1st place -300
other countries within the group: Mexico, Sweden, Korea Republic
I have a pay out of 13,500 if the above two items hit with an investment of 2,000, that being said I'm highly risk averse at this juncture
my question: should I be legitimately concerned about either of these items? SoccerBot has a +3000 EV predictive simulation
if I should be concerned about either of these items, who is my biggest threat? Mexico?
"We can tell you Brazil has the highest probability to advance out of Group E, despite losing defender Dani Alves to a knee injury. Another team the model is all over to easily win its group: defending World Cup champion Germany, who has a 67.8 percent chance of winning Group F."
Group A
Uruguay 46.2% (25/1 odds to win the World Cup)
Russia 33.9% (40/1 odds to win the World Cup)
Egypt 17.8% (200/1 odds to win the World Cup)
Saudi Arabia 2.0% (1000/1 odds to win the World Cup)
Group B
Spain 62.8% (6/1 odds to win the World Cup)
Portugal 28.6% (20/1 odds to win the World Cup)
Morocco 6.5% (500/1 odds to win the World Cup)
Iran 2.1% (1000/1 odds to win the World Cup)
Group C
France 72.4% (6/1 odds to win the World Cup)
Denmark 13.8% (80/1 odds to win the World Cup)
Peru 9.8% (200/1 odds to win the World Cup)
Australia 4.0% (500/1 odds to win the World Cup)
Group D
Argentina 59.6% (7/1 odds to win the World Cup)
Croatia 25.5% (40/1 odds to win the World Cup)
Nigeria 8.3% (250/1 odds to win the World Cup)
Iceland 6.5% (200/1 odds to win the World Cup)
Group E
Brazil 72.9% (4/1 odds to win the World Cup)
Switzerland 11.1% (100/1 odds to win the World Cup)
Serbia 12.0% (200/1 odds to win the World Cup)
Costa Rica 4.0% (250/1 odds to win the World Cup)
Group F
Germany 67.8% (7/2 odds to win the World Cup)
Mexico 14.8% (60/1 odds to win the World Cup)
Sweden 13.4% (150/1 odds to win the World Cup)
South Korea 4.0% (500/1 odds to win the World Cup)
Group G
Belgium 52.4% (10/1 odds to win the World Cup)
England 40.8% (20/1 odds to win the World Cup)
Tunisia 4.7% (1000/1 odds to win the World Cup)
Panama 2.1% (1000/1 odds to win the World Cup)
Group H
Columbia 40.2% (40/1 odds to win the World Cup)
Poland 31.6% (30/1 odds to win the World Cup)
Senegal 17.8% (150/1 odds to win the World Cup)
Japan 10.5% (300/1 odds to win the World Cup)