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Sep 10 2018 11:38am
Quote (Horford @ Sep 10 2018 11:34am)
they're not losing the senate in 2018. there's no way, that would be a HUGE choke.


perhaps im missing something, it's currently 51-49 with like 30 seats up for election, right?

bit of an upset? sure. HUGE choke tho?
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Sep 10 2018 11:50am
Quote (thesnipa @ Sep 10 2018 01:38pm)
perhaps im missing something, it's currently 51-49 with like 30 seats up for election, right?

bit of an upset? sure. HUGE choke tho?


aren't those mostly all seats that are considered republican safe? fivethirtyeight unfortunately doesn't have a senate race map like they do with the house unfortunately (which is up to almost 80% chance of Dems taking the house mwuahahaha, up from about 75% last time i checked)
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Sep 10 2018 11:58am
Quote (Horford @ Sep 10 2018 11:50am)
aren't those mostly all seats that are considered republican safe? fivethirtyeight unfortunately doesn't have a senate race map like they do with the house unfortunately (which is up to almost 80% chance of Dems taking the house mwuahahaha, up from about 75% last time i checked)


not to go too Trumpy, but those polls aren't exactly flawless as of late. We've already had a slew of surprise victories in special elections this year when polling pointed the other way. I'm not one to discount democratic optimism, there's a pretty clear blue wave right now. whether that's a no wake zone ripple or a tsunami remains to be seen.
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Sep 10 2018 11:58am
Quote (Horford @ Sep 10 2018 10:34am)
they're not losing the senate in 2018. there's no way, that would be a HUGE choke.


Maybe Tom Steyer should pay Putin a billion dollars for the tape of Trump fucking underage hookers. That would be worth more than the millions he's investing on stupid stuff like bumper stickers. I don't think a Republican could win PotUS for half a generation after that.

But yeah, House will flip but not the Senate.

This post was edited by inkanddagger on Sep 10 2018 11:59am
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Sep 10 2018 12:03pm
Quote (inkanddagger @ Sep 10 2018 01:58pm)
Maybe Tom Steyer should pay Putin a billion dollars for the tape of Trump fucking underage hookers. That would be worth more than the millions he's investing on stupid stuff like bumper stickers. I don't think a Republican could win PotUS for half a generation after that.

But yeah, House will flip but not the Senate.


lmao.

and yes, that's my stance too[QUOTE=thesnipa,Sep 10 2018 01:58pm]not to go too Trumpy, but those polls aren't exactly flawless as of late. We've already had a slew of surprise victories in special elections this year when polling pointed the other way. I'm not one to discount democratic optimism, there's a pretty clear blue wave right now. whether that's a no wake zone ripple or a tsunami remains to be seen.[/QUOTE]

lol'd

we'll see. even if the Dems don't take the senate, which they won't, I think you could call it a win if they net-lose only a seat or two.
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Sep 10 2018 12:04pm
ugh fail quote, my bad.

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Sep 10 2018 12:32pm
in this years senate race, the dems have 2-3 seats where they can play offense, and like 15 where they are on the defense, on some of them heavily. they would have to knock off 2 incumbents AND hold on to all their current seats, many of which are in deep red states.

if they were to win the senate, they'd probably get to more than 350 votes in the house and the trump presidency would be over, legislatively.

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Sep 10 2018 12:33pm
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Sep 10 2018 12:44pm
Quote (Black XistenZ @ Sep 10 2018 11:32am)
in this years senate race, the dems have 2-3 seats where they can play offense, and like 15 where they are on the defense, on some of them heavily. they would have to knock off 2 incumbents AND hold on to all their current seats, many of which are in deep red states.

if they were to win the senate, they'd probably get to more than 350 votes in the house and the trump presidency would be over, legislatively.


This is possible if Democratic voter turnout matches Republican voter turnout as a percentage of registered voters. But good luck getting Democrats to vote.

This post was edited by inkanddagger on Sep 10 2018 12:44pm
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Sep 10 2018 02:10pm
Quote (inkanddagger @ Sep 10 2018 01:44pm)
This is possible if Democratic voter turnout matches Republican voter turnout as a percentage of registered voters. But good luck getting Democrats to vote.


I agree with this 100%. The problem I see is that (D) doesn't have a solid candidate to toss out in 2020 right now. No one is spurring any excitement to take down Drumpf.
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Sep 10 2018 02:18pm
Quote (djman72 @ Sep 10 2018 04:10pm)
I agree with this 100%. The problem I see is that (D) doesn't have a solid candidate to toss out in 2020 right now. No one is spurring any excitement to take down Drumpf.


Were talking about midterms not 2020
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