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May 22 2018 08:06am
I placed several parlay tickets that included the following items:

World Cup Group E - Brazil 1st place -375
other countries within the group: Switzerland, Costa Rica, and Serbia

World Cup Group F - Germany 1st place -300
other countries within the group: Mexico, Sweden, Korea Republic

I have a pay out of 13,500 if the above two items hit with an investment of 2,000, that being said I'm highly risk averse at this juncture

my question: should I be legitimately concerned about either of these items? SoccerBot has a +3000 EV predictive simulation

if I should be concerned about either of these items, who is my biggest threat? Mexico?

"We can tell you Brazil has the highest probability to advance out of Group E, despite losing defender Dani Alves to a knee injury. Another team the model is all over to easily win its group: defending World Cup champion Germany, who has a 67.8 percent chance of winning Group F."

Group A
Uruguay 46.2% (25/1 odds to win the World Cup)
Russia 33.9% (40/1 odds to win the World Cup)
Egypt 17.8% (200/1 odds to win the World Cup)
Saudi Arabia 2.0% (1000/1 odds to win the World Cup)

Group B
Spain 62.8% (6/1 odds to win the World Cup)
Portugal 28.6% (20/1 odds to win the World Cup)
Morocco 6.5% (500/1 odds to win the World Cup)
Iran 2.1% (1000/1 odds to win the World Cup)

Group C
France 72.4% (6/1 odds to win the World Cup)
Denmark 13.8% (80/1 odds to win the World Cup)
Peru 9.8% (200/1 odds to win the World Cup)
Australia 4.0% (500/1 odds to win the World Cup)

Group D
Argentina 59.6% (7/1 odds to win the World Cup)
Croatia 25.5% (40/1 odds to win the World Cup)
Nigeria 8.3% (250/1 odds to win the World Cup)
Iceland 6.5% (200/1 odds to win the World Cup)

Group E
Brazil 72.9% (4/1 odds to win the World Cup)
Switzerland 11.1% (100/1 odds to win the World Cup)
Serbia 12.0% (200/1 odds to win the World Cup)
Costa Rica 4.0% (250/1 odds to win the World Cup)

Group F
Germany 67.8% (7/2 odds to win the World Cup)
Mexico 14.8% (60/1 odds to win the World Cup)
Sweden 13.4% (150/1 odds to win the World Cup)
South Korea 4.0% (500/1 odds to win the World Cup)

Group G
Belgium 52.4% (10/1 odds to win the World Cup)
England 40.8% (20/1 odds to win the World Cup)
Tunisia 4.7% (1000/1 odds to win the World Cup)
Panama 2.1% (1000/1 odds to win the World Cup)

Group H
Columbia 40.2% (40/1 odds to win the World Cup)
Poland 31.6% (30/1 odds to win the World Cup)
Senegal 17.8% (150/1 odds to win the World Cup)
Japan 10.5% (300/1 odds to win the World Cup)



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May 22 2018 09:47am
useless thread.
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May 22 2018 10:21am
Quote (Sibille @ May 22 2018 10:47am)
useless thread.


almost as useless as this post. nice 25 thousand posts buddy
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May 22 2018 10:26am
It would be a huge surprise if those teams didn't top their groups.
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May 22 2018 10:27am
Quote (zarkadon @ May 22 2018 11:26am)
It would be a huge surprise if those teams didn't top their groups.


ty for the input I don't know much about soccer, I just went with these picks because of the statistical models

This post was edited by Giannis on May 22 2018 10:28am
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May 22 2018 11:12am
have it same as you i think.
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May 22 2018 11:41am
Mexico should walk all over Germany. Hot tip. Don't tell no one bro.
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May 22 2018 12:33pm
Quote (ZK9GT @ May 22 2018 12:41pm)
Mexico should walk all over Germany. Hot tip. Don't tell no one bro.


ZK9GT, why are you so rude and bitter all the time?

Your warn is only 0%? I am suprised it's not 100%, it's definitely missing another 0.
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May 22 2018 12:46pm
Quote (Giannis @ May 22 2018 11:33am)
ZK9GT, why are you so rude and bitter all the time?

Your warn is only 0%? I am suprised it's not 100%, it's definitely missing another 0.


Don't know were exactly i was rude and bitter on this post. Just having some fun m8. If I add another 0 to my 0, i'll have 00% percent. Brilliant.
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May 22 2018 12:47pm
Quote (ZK9GT @ May 22 2018 01:46pm)
Don't know were exactly i was rude and bitter on this post. Just having some fun m8. If I add another 0 to my 0, i'll have 00% percent. Brilliant.


obvious purchased multi if you don't know that MadMartigan copy paste gem
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