SHORT VERSION:The prediction is:
November the 28th 2017.Reasoning:
We can see all the reset dates here :
http://forums.d2jsp.org/topic.php?t=77291134&f=21 big shout-out to: dunaicapa
Constraints:
1) It's gotta be a
Tuesday2) It's gotta be in
NovemberAssumption based on recent years:
Blizzard wants to keep the season length as unchangeable as possible.
Meaning:
a ) If possible continue to reset according to the current season length schedule
b ) If continuing would put reset into December choose shorter season length (take the current season lenght and deduct 7, or 14 days)
Current run (season length) is 189 days. It has been around two resets so far.
Last reset was on the 30th of May, so continuing season length of 189 would make the reset fall into December.
Therefore the rule B is invoked. So 182 days, or 175 days long season this time.
I believe that choosing 182 now is much more probable for two reasons:
1) They already had a relatively recent streak of 4 resets after 182 days (started on May 23rd 2013, lasted 4 seasons)
2) The current dates are such that if you start 182 days resets now you could continue them at that pace for many many seasons to come.
Meaning:
1) 28th of November (182 days long season) - 70 percent chance
2) 21st Of November (175 days long season) - 20 percent chance
3) Random unexpected crap happens at the day of the reset and everything is moved for an unpredictable amount of days - 10 percent chance
This post was edited by Loshmi on Oct 3 2017 06:04pm