d2jsp
Log InRegister
d2jsp Forums > Diablo II > Diablo 2 Discussion > Ladder Reset Prediction > A Bold One!
1234Next
Add Reply New Topic New Poll
Member
Posts: 6,319
Joined: Oct 18 2007
Gold: 27,827.00
Oct 3 2017 05:56pm
SHORT VERSION:

The prediction is:
November the 28th 2017.


Reasoning:

We can see all the reset dates here : http://forums.d2jsp.org/topic.php?t=77291134&f=21 big shout-out to: dunaicapa
Constraints:
1) It's gotta be a Tuesday
2) It's gotta be in November

Assumption based on recent years:
Blizzard wants to keep the season length as unchangeable as possible.
Meaning:
a ) If possible continue to reset according to the current season length schedule
b ) If continuing would put reset into December choose shorter season length (take the current season lenght and deduct 7, or 14 days)

Current run (season length) is 189 days. It has been around two resets so far.

Last reset was on the 30th of May, so continuing season length of 189 would make the reset fall into December.

Therefore the rule B is invoked. So 182 days, or 175 days long season this time.

I believe that choosing 182 now is much more probable for two reasons:
1) They already had a relatively recent streak of 4 resets after 182 days (started on May 23rd 2013, lasted 4 seasons)
2) The current dates are such that if you start 182 days resets now you could continue them at that pace for many many seasons to come.

Meaning:
1) 28th of November (182 days long season) - 70 percent chance
2) 21st Of November (175 days long season) - 20 percent chance
3) Random unexpected crap happens at the day of the reset and everything is moved for an unpredictable amount of days - 10 percent chance

This post was edited by Loshmi on Oct 3 2017 06:04pm
Member
Posts: 3,265
Joined: Aug 30 2017
Gold: 13.37
Oct 3 2017 06:05pm
When is ladder reset?
Member
Posts: 16,869
Joined: Jan 29 2012
Gold: 298.00
Oct 3 2017 07:00pm
:drool:
Member
Posts: 12,212
Joined: Nov 14 2008
Gold: 31,820.55
Oct 3 2017 07:14pm
who cares just wait till blizz announces it :wacko:
Member
Posts: 13,339
Joined: Jul 29 2008
Gold: 1,631.00
Oct 4 2017 04:09am
Quote (Loshmi @ 4 Oct 2017 02:56)
SHORT VERSION:

The prediction is:
November the 28th 2017.


Reasoning:

We can see all the reset dates here : http://forums.d2jsp.org/topic.php?t=77291134&f=21 big shout-out to: dunaicapa
Constraints:
1) It's gotta be a Tuesday
2) It's gotta be in November

Assumption based on recent years:
Blizzard wants to keep the season length as unchangeable as possible.
Meaning:
a ) If possible continue to reset according to the current season length schedule
b ) If continuing would put reset into December choose shorter season length (take the current season lenght and deduct 7, or 14 days)

Current run (season length) is 189 days. It has been around two resets so far.

Last reset was on the 30th of May, so continuing season length of 189 would make the reset fall into December.

Therefore the rule B is invoked. So 182 days, or 175 days long season this time.

I believe that choosing 182 now is much more probable for two reasons:
1) They already had a relatively recent streak of 4 resets after 182 days (started on May 23rd 2013, lasted 4 seasons)
2) The current dates are such that if you start 182 days resets now you could continue them at that pace for many many seasons to come.

Meaning:
1) 28th of November (182 days long season) - 70 percent chance
2) 21st Of November (175 days long season) - 20 percent chance
3) Random unexpected crap happens at the day of the reset and everything is moved for an unpredictable amount of days - 10 percent chance


Must be very smart person you
Member
Posts: 23,815
Joined: Jun 18 2014
Gold: 6.69
Oct 4 2017 04:36am
sticky
Member
Posts: 3,549
Joined: Mar 22 2009
Gold: 1,495.00
Oct 4 2017 07:34am
Quote (TaY_VaNo @ Oct 4 2017 02:14am)
who cares just wait till blizz announces it :wacko:


This

This post was edited by Sodomuffin on Oct 4 2017 07:34am
Member
Posts: 50,970
Joined: Mar 2 2008
Gold: 35,001.97
Oct 4 2017 08:14am
When does prediction resets ?
Member
Posts: 12,471
Joined: Jan 25 2012
Gold: 31,995.00
Oct 4 2017 08:44am
These odds are wrong. There is a chance that Trump nukes Korea from now to december and the whole world gets resetted
Member
Posts: 2,786
Joined: Nov 8 2015
Gold: 31.00
Oct 4 2017 08:50am
Quote (KuDjoKorn @ Oct 4 2017 09:14am)
When does prediction resets ?

On 17/17/17
Go Back To Diablo 2 Discussion Topic List
1234Next
Add Reply New Topic New Poll