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Member
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Oct 4 2017 04:50pm
Quote (excellence @ Oct 4 2017 03:13pm)
you're critiquing an election prediction


Why are you still tapdancing in the exact same spot?

Quote (cambovenzi @ Oct 4 2017 03:46pm)
its fascinating how comprehensively wrong he is on a consistent basis yet he still struts around with his nose in the air like hes a superior life-form


Thanks for the fucking laugh on that one.
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Oct 4 2017 04:51pm
Quote (excellence @ Oct 4 2017 05:13pm)
you're critiquing an election prediction
???




Obligatory: thanks for yet another fuckin laugh!!!!


Or he wasn't referring to his prediction at all...
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Oct 4 2017 05:04pm
Quote (Pollster @ 4 Oct 2017 18:50)
Why are you still tapdancing in the exact same spot?



Thanks for the fucking laugh on that one.

the "spot" where one can laugh at your miserable posting behavior over the years regarding politics (especially election predictions) is a pretty large one, young little fella/lady/xheshe/thing that calls themselves a pollster.

Obligatory: thanks for yet another fuckin laugh!!


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Oct 4 2017 05:10pm
Quote (tommyd323 @ Oct 4 2017 03:51pm)
Or he wasn't referring to his prediction at all...


Just let the dummy keep tap dancing, I don't want to shut down the only show in town.

Quote (cambovenzi @ Oct 4 2017 03:19pm)
lel. 370-380. good one.

at least he was right about the democrats controlling the senate ...wait


Oh wait, this ought to be good for another howler. Where did I predict that the Democrats would control the Senate after 2016? Given the reality that I didn't make any official predictions in 2016, which has necessitated that hurr durrs dig up a single quote from early 2015 to misappropriate, I'm sure you trying to follow through on this will be good for a few laughs -- no matter how you inevitably bungle it.
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Oct 4 2017 05:20pm
Quote (Pollster @ Oct 4 2017 06:10pm)
Oh wait, this ought to be good for another howler. Where did I predict that the Democrats would control the Senate after 2016? Given the reality that I didn't make any official predictions in 2016, which has necessitated that hurr durrs dig up a single quote from early 2015 to misappropriate, I'm sure you trying to follow through on this will be good for a few laughs -- no matter how you inevitably bungle it.


Pollster consistently said that Trump had a legitimate chance to win once he won the primary... I even called him out for not calling the election over like I did.
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Oct 4 2017 05:58pm
Who remembers the 2014 cycle, where our brilliant pollster had the Republicans winning ZERO seats in his range of possibilities but insulted me up and down when i called him out on his range being too small on the republican winning side?

Guess what happened? Republicans won more seats than his wide range of possibilities and they took control of the senate.


Meanwhile on pollster Earth 2:
President Hillary Clinton is pushing for gun control and enjoying a democrat majority in the senate.
Mitch McConnell lost his seat instead of winning by 15.5 points and is helpless to stop her.
Member
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Oct 4 2017 06:03pm
Quote (cambovenzi @ 4 Oct 2017 19:58)
Who remembers the 2014 cycle, where our brilliant pollster had the Republicans winning ZERO seats in his range of possibilities but insulted me up and down when i called him out on his range being too small on the republican winning side?

Guess what happened? Republicans won more seats than his wide range of possibilities and they took control of the senate.


Meanwhile on pollster Earth 2:
President Hillary Clinton is pushing for gun control and enjoying a democrat majority in the senate.
Mitch McConnell lost his seat instead of winning by 15.5 points and is helpless to stop her.


here you go:

http://forums.d2jsp.org/topic.php?t=70828877&f=119&p=475871342

not only did he get everything wrong, he said that people like nate silver have "major deficiencies" in how they predict elections, and that the little fella/lady/xheshe/thing that calls itself pollster used their own "custom model" to 'accurately' predict elections

e: obligatory (to pollster): thanks for yet another fuckin laugh!!!!

This post was edited by excellence on Oct 4 2017 06:07pm
Member
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Oct 4 2017 06:07pm
Quote (cambovenzi @ Oct 4 2017 04:58pm)
...range of possibilities...


This is still a total misrepresentation of a mathematical application. Not sure if you're doing it on purpose or on accident out of just rank ignorance, but it doesn't really matter.

Quote (IceMage @ Oct 4 2017 04:20pm)
Pollster consistently said that Trump had a legitimate chance to win once he won the primary... I even called him out for not calling the election over like I did.


Shit, that's peanuts. I repeatedly explained months before voting started that Trump was capable of winning his primary, and as soon as he did the exact 2 things I mentioned he became formidable. That's on top of calling the entire Democratic primary accurately, also months in advance, from beginning to end. Humorously I even floated the event that the FBI would unjustifiably go harder on Clinton than was warranted, several months before Comey's ridiculous press conference and his letters that would decide the election.

Facts don't matter to dumb people. I understand that it's comforting to these know-nothing nobodies to construct this alternate reality for themselves where the professional consultant is always wrong because he happened to write something that they disagree with, and that's why I always greet their attempts with laughter.
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Oct 4 2017 06:14pm
Quote (IceMage @ 4 Oct 2017 19:20)
Pollster consistently said that Trump had a legitimate chance to win once he won the primary... I even called him out for not calling the election over like I did.


Hahahhahahahah

Quote (Pollster @ 1 Jul 2016 16:35)
Huffington Post has the best aggregate by far, the aptly-named "HuffPo Pollster,"

https://mobile.twitter.com/pollsterpolls?lang=en
https://mobile.twitter.com/huffpost/status/795663593689808896?lang=en



he brags about "picking the Dem primary" even though it was rigged for (C)linton, yet he failed to see a Bernie win in MI, and that was also lost on him during the General Election

Quote (Pollster @ 11 Sep 2015 14:05)
If he cut an $800 million check to build a real infrastructure it'd be hard for anyone to stop him.


wrong as usual as he didnt need $800mm of his own money and the Democrats' current excuse is $100k in ad space sold by zuckerburg/facebook to 'russians'



Obligatory: thanks for the fuckin laugh!!!
Member
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Oct 4 2017 06:23pm
Quote (excellence @ Oct 4 2017 05:14pm)
unintelligible nonsense


So strange; misrepresenting that post didn't work out for you the last 500 times you tried it so I'm not sure why you think this time would go any differently.

You could have just continued tap dancing in your usual spot, what was the point of switching to different ground that you also happened to score an own-goal on?
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