Quote (jadeoshbogosh @ Nov 12 2017 02:38pm)
I tried so hard to get NE.... fucking ridiculous how much it went for this year. Was like 7 last year I thought.
Completely reasonable:
In 16 years (Tom Brady Era), the Patriots have been to 7 Super Bowls, winning 5 and losing 2.
5/16*50k+2/16*19k = 18k.
Statistically, the Patriots pay out 18k a season (if the pot were the same size every year). At 14k it's a good buy. That's not factoring in things like the season Brady got hurt, or the fact that the Patriots are absurdly dominant right now, or the fact that the Eagles are the NFC favorites right now, all of which skew the odds of the Patriots winning a Super Bowl even more in their favor.