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Aug 20 2016 07:14am
We're Back Fam

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Aug 20 2016 07:35am
Is the lower bound of that confidence interval Narnia and the upper bound Hogwarts
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Aug 20 2016 07:47am
Quote (EA7 @ 20 Aug 2016 09:14)


welcome back as well :thumbsup:
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Aug 20 2016 08:53am
LMAO, only able to post when you can delude yourself into thinking that Trump has a chance, eh? Sad!
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Aug 20 2016 08:56am
Quote (AiNedeSpelCzech @ Aug 20 2016 09:53am)
LMAO, only able to post when you can delude yourself into thinking that Trump has a chance, eh? Sad!


The race has been tightening, it's probably within 4 points.
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Aug 20 2016 08:59am
Quote (bogie160 @ 20 Aug 2016 06:56)
The race has been tightening, it's probably within 4 points.


A bit tighter, sure, but try six or so.

In any case, you'd have to be high as fuck to take one daybreak poll with trump up as Trump leading. I expect things to tighten, sure, but you have to admit that this is some lolcow shit
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Aug 20 2016 09:07am
Quote (AiNedeSpelCzech @ Aug 20 2016 09:59am)
A bit tighter, sure, but try six or so.

In any case, you'd have to be high as fuck to take one daybreak poll with trump up as Trump leading. I expect things to tighten, sure, but you have to admit that this is some lolcow shit


This thread is just about what I would expect from a guy with Trump in his sig.
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Aug 20 2016 10:46am
All human lives come from the same common ancestor.
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Aug 20 2016 10:49am
Quote (Skinned @ Aug 20 2016 04:46pm)
All human lives come from the same common ancestor.


https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Toba_catastrophe_theory

Quote
The Toba eruption has been linked to a genetic bottleneck in human evolution about 50,000 years ago,[33][34] which may have resulted from a severe reduction in the size of the total human population due to the effects of the eruption on the global climate.[35]

According to the genetic bottleneck theory, between 50,000 and 100,000 years ago, human populations sharply decreased to 3,000–10,000 surviving individuals.[36][37] It is supported by genetic evidence suggesting that today's humans are descended from a very small population of between 1,000 and 10,000 breeding pairs that existed about 70,000 years ago.[38]

Proponents of the genetic bottleneck theory (including Robock) suggest that the Toba eruption resulted in a global ecological disaster, including destruction of vegetation along with severe drought in the tropical rainforest belt and in monsoonal regions. For example, a 10-year volcanic winter triggered by the eruption could have largely destroyed the food sources of humans and caused a severe reduction in population sizes.[24] Τhese environmental changes may have generated population bottlenecks in many species, including hominids;[39] this in turn may have accelerated differentiation from within the smaller human population. Therefore, the genetic differences among modern humans may reflect changes within the last 70,000 years, rather than gradual differentiation over millions of years.[40]

Other research has cast doubt on a link between Toba and a genetic bottleneck. For example, ancient stone tools in southern India were found above and below a thick layer of ash from the Toba eruption and were very similar across these layers, suggesting that the dust clouds from the eruption did not wipe out this local population.[41][42][43] Additional archaeological evidence from Southern and Northern India also suggests a lack of evidence for effects of the eruption on local populations, leading the authors of the study to conclude, "many forms of life survived the supereruption, contrary to other research which has suggested significant animal extinctions and genetic bottlenecks".[44] However, evidence from pollen analysis has suggested prolonged deforestation in South Asia, and some researchers have suggested that the Toba eruption may have forced humans to adopt new adaptive strategies, which may have permitted them to replace Neanderthals and "other archaic human species".[45] This has been challenged by evidence for the presence of Neanderthals in Europe and Homo floresiensis in Southeastern Asia who survived the eruption by 50,000 and 60,000 years, respectively.[46]

Additional caveats to the Toba-induced bottleneck theory include difficulties in estimating the global and regional climatic impacts of the eruption and lack of conclusive evidence for the eruption preceding the bottleneck.[47] Furthermore, genetic analysis of Alu sequences across the entire human genome has shown that the effective human population size was less than 26,000 at 1.2 million years ago; possible explanations for the low population size of human ancestors may include repeated population bottlenecks or periodic replacement events from competing Homo subspecies.[48]


Basically we're a bunch of inbreds whether we like it or not.

This post was edited by CarsV on Aug 20 2016 10:49am
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Aug 20 2016 11:14am
Quote (AiNedeSpelCzech @ Aug 20 2016 06:59am)
A bit tighter, sure, but try six or so.

In any case, you'd have to be high as fuck to take one daybreak poll with trump up as Trump leading. I expect things to tighten, sure, but you have to admit that this is some lolcow shit


http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html

You're correct. I suspect that the referenced poll is an outlier.
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