Quote (herbdoc @ Jul 22 2016 09:34am)
Ok, thanks for this. So a couple more questions.
While democratic primary turnout is typically low, isn't 20% decline 'something' to worry about?
Also, while he may not win Ohio, what about Pennsylvania and Michigan? Blue collar workers/middle class seem to really like him.
Overall, from a my layman's perspective, it looks like it will be close.
There were ~19 million voters in the 2008 Democratic primary altogether, while over 69M votes were casts for Barack Obama. Most Dems just stay home during the primaries.
There were ~20 million voters in the 2008 Republican primary altogether, and their candidate got below 60M votes.
This doesn't include caucuses. which are pretty small all things considered.
The vast majority of people who will vote for Donald Trump for primary are already involved in the process and have probably already voted. You can expect to see a great many more Democrats turn out for this thing.
To most Americans, there just isn't an alternative to Democratic rule. The Republicans left many millions of Americans no alternative to HRC this election.