This whole thing just reads like a big "LOLNO."

If I had to guess, I'd imagine this cycle's going to go a lot like every other cycle has gone in the past: most if not all of my clients are going to overperform, because I'm very good at my job, and Trump is going to be a terrible drag on downballot Republicans (who are opposing my clients) because he's a terrible candidate. At least so far, I've been working every day and Trump hasn't been surging, he's been an unmitigated disaster. I'm the one who said he could get here and outlined exactly how (and his campaign ended up following that exact blueprint), and that he'd be a disaster when he got here, and the events of the cycle have only proven me more and more right as time has passed.

Not that it matters, but I'm quite pleased with the professional reputation I've developed. If Clinton selects my old boss as her pick to be Vice President tomorrow, and wins in November, then I'll probably have the option of trading in laughing at hurr durrs like you for a plum position in the White House. Options are nice.

lol, the idea that Nate Silver is somehow completely discredited after making a mistake that he very publicly owned up to and did his best to move on from.

There's really a funny irony about that one estimation (because that's what it was) that he got wrong, and that's that it really helps validate his longstanding argument for the way he thinks the media should do things. What got him into trouble was the one thing he says you're not supposed to do: overlook and ignore the polling. All of the polling showed that Trump was competitive and that Republican primary voters always preferred him, they were right the whole time.

dro94 1, cambovenzi 0

Honestly, im sorry for the half of cool americans, but considering the US foreign policy and how things are going on since decades, i would definitely support TRUMP.
I know it's not safe but at least it's better than the rampant cancer foreign policy Clinton is representing. I really hope Trump wins, very, very much.

Nate Silver is a smart guy, he doesn't know how the election will go, and has opted to wait and see.

Yeah your moronic false reasons for my answer, and the fact that I've already said as much on these forums makes you the real psychic winner here.

Uh, he's taking the same exact approach that he uses every year: using the model he built himself.

I will not be voting to give a birther access to the nuclear launch codes.

He recognizes that he made some stupid assumptions because the rise of Trump seemed so unlikely that he made the mistake of looking away from the polls, and has had Trump rising pretty remarkably fast in the model as the polls have dictated. He's pretty much doubled his chance to win in the last month.