The Castro's are ridiculously old. Once they die, which will be soon, I suspect Cuba will undergo a transformation either akin to Russia under Yeltsin or the PRC under Xiaoping. The later would be better for the economy, but it depends on how much power the Cuban communist party has over it's people. I'd lean towards the latter, given that Cuban's in Cuba blame America for their poverty. Cuban's are incredibly well cared for healthcare wise, and they're well educated, so their biggest potential gripe with their state is economic reasons, and the narrative there is that it is America's fault. That's not really true, the Cuban Communist Party has utterly failed at creating efficient industry and they have (with the notable exception of tourism and hospitality) actually stymied attempts. If you want an example of this, take soap. Such a simple thing, it's very easy to make and it's something we take for granted. Cuban's don't have it, as it's a luxury and Cuba doesn't really want an industry that make soap.
If the Castro's are gone, a younger, more capitalist minded leader will likely take power. I suspect they'll engage in economic reforms while attempting to maintain the power of the party. If the Cuban identity is one of dissent and anti-Americanism, you can probably bet that that will endure.
Quote (card_sultan @ Jul 20 2015 07:05pm)
I think if anything it would progress to Democratic Socialism and probably become Canada's 11th province. We need a warm island.
Lol if any islands are going to join Canada, and there is a chance this does happen, it'll be somewhere like the Turks and Caicos or Barbados.
This post was edited by Caedus on Jul 21 2015 03:23pm