OK, I have been winning like crazy this season with my bookie on college ball games. Right now I'm approximately 80%+ for college games. I developed my own system of rating teams based on analytic data, it's all math. I do my math and then base wins by percentage of chance to win based on the math I did for each team. So far so good, and since there are doubters, I guess I'll post my picks here so we can review my picks and degrade me when I end up only hitting 75% after posting a topic about it.
Today's picks: I'm shooting for 4 out of 5 today as my goal, all these picks have 55-60%+ chance of covering according to my system.
Mercer +4 @ Chattanooga
North Texas +2.5 @ Florida Atlantic
Maryland -8.5 vs Nebraska
Omaha +1.5 vs Oral Roberts
Rice +4.5 vs Florida International

16-1-1 in this thread on my picks http://forums.d2jsp.org/topic.php?t=72230194&f=202

This post was edited by SheriffCool on Feb 19 2015 08:14am

I dont like the Maryland pick and Rice. But Im interested to see how your system works.

If this works for 2 seasons, you can buy it off my website like everyone else...lol

vegas odds you have to win what, 52% of bets to break even? if you win 55% you can be a millionaire, if you win 60% you'd be the greatest gambler alive...

70% is the best basketball handicapper on his best season. I don't know if I'm actually on to something or if it's a fluke, but I'm gonna ride the wave while it's rolling towards the shore. I bet petty cash $10/game and I have already started setting money aside from betting this season. I'm up $160 this week and didn't even bet last night because I feel bad for the guy I bet with. I dont want him to quit, I want to buy a muscle car this spring mainly out of this.

well, considering a PHD professor at my college and a statistician did this years ago with great results in the NCAA tourny then one year it fell to complete shit i'd have to say that your "math" is likely just luck at this point

http://sports.espn.go.com/espn/eticket/story?page=bracketnation

(halfway down the page you'll see the entire thing)

but good luck showing 2 years of results and then trying to market your product lol

e/

"The model quickly proved out. In the 2004 tournament, four of the five top-ranked LRMC teams made the Final Four. One was Georgia Tech, which had been seeded only third in its region. Sweet vindication! And often repeated! In the past seven years — going back to the statistical beginning of the model in 1999-2000, 22 of the 28 teams in the Final Four have been ranked first or second in their region by the LRMC.

That outperforms all other ranking systems, assert the profs, who naturally have the stats to back that up. Go back through the past seven tourneys and all the head-to-head matchups of teams seeded differently by RPI and LRMC, and two-thirds of the time the latter got it right, correctly predicting the winner."

This post was edited by stuartg85 on Feb 19 2015 08:28am

Well of course I'll never produce anything near anyone associated with GT, that would be blasphemy. I simply am on a good run and sharing it, whether my math is lucky or not is yet to be determined, but I doubt I'm using the same numbers as scholars such as your esteemed colleagues used. They already failed trying to use the seeding in the tourney as rankings, you fucking kidding me? It has nothing to do with rankings and where someone is seeded. It's about the numbers produced in the game. Turnovers, rebounds, ft and 3 pt % and total points scored per game, among other things.

This post was edited by SheriffCool on Feb 19 2015 09:00am

obviously a group of PHD professors and people who use it in their day to day careers know less than a carpenter

i'm sure your models are flawless and you've figured out the secret to winning

So far it hasn't failed me, sorry you are butt hurt like usual, and your professors failed you once again.

theirs showed results for nearly a decade and then one year threw a wrench in it and you're trying to tout a 2 day hot streak, lol

please though, tell us more about your successful carpentry business. fix any leaking roofs this week while stumbling across all this "math"?