what about florida's governor race?

It's being held this year, next month on November 4th. You'll find discussion on that in this thread, and you can search for "FL-GOV" to find different updates involving that one race. There will be a new update on that and the rest of the important governor races tomorrow.



No, it isn't. And as has been said many times: you simply saying something doesn't magically make it true.

Again: either meet the low bar or go derp somewhere else. It really is that simple. You're obviously not bringing something useful to the discussion, and there's simply no appetite for the nonsense. Take it somewhere else.

Yes, it is. But it's still true.

Bar: met.

Some of the most high-profile Senate races of 2016 have proxy battles going on this year that'll greatly influence how they take shape. Two are particularly important: Nevada and Kentucky.

In Kentucky, Rand Paul has been pretty open with his intentions to run for president. State law forbids him for running for president and reelection to the Senate though, so Paul would have to choose (or take it to court). This all changes if the Republicans gain a majority in the Kentucky State House though, and they need a net gain of 5 seats on Election Day to do it. At the beginning of the cycle most people naturally assumed that the GOP could easily accomplish this but now the party is starting to concede their odds are roughly 50%-50%. Republican strategists cite two main factors for this: Democratic fundraising [See: http://mycn2.com/politics/house-candidates-stock-their-campaign-accounts-32-days-before-election-day] and Democratic recruiting in Republican-held seats [See: http://mycn2.com/politics/more-than-a-dozen-contested-state-house-seats-leave-fate-of-the-chmaber-in-flux]. If the Democrats hold the State House then Paul will have to choose. If he runs for reelection he'd start out a modest favorite, but an open contest would be decent pickup opportunity for the Democrats.

In Nevada, most believe that Harry Reid will stick with his plans to run for reelection. The GOP has one and really only one candidate who could credibly force Reid into a challenging campaign: Governor Brian Sandoval. The rub is that Sandoval would have to give up his seat to challenge Reid, which could put Democrats in control of the state if they win the LG position this year. That contest is one of the high-profile downballot races in the country this year between Republican State Senator Mark Hutchinson and Democratic Assemblywoman Lucy Flores. The Democrats didn't challenge Sandoval and it's believed that Hutchinson has a significant advantage due to that, as the only other thing the Democrats are trying to accomplish is a hold of the State Senate.

That might have changed recently though, as the race for Attorney General got interesting. Republican nominee Adam Laxalt has had a rough time on the trail as details of his poor performance in his job leaked and became a major distraction. It only got worse: 8 members of Laxalt's own family have endorsed his opponent Ross Miller, and did so by authoring an Op-Ed in the Las Vegas Sun about why he's the better candidate [See: http://lasvegassun.com/news/2014/oct/16/doing-whats-best-nevada/]. This could shift the LG race back to a true tossup, and if Flores wins it that might cause Sandoval to pass on a Senate run, shifting the range towards the Democrats as one of their only 2 truly vulnerable seats gets shored up.

For someone who only uses D2jsp forums as an outlet for humor, for trolling threads to get a rise out of those who you don't feel are up to your level of intellect. you seem awfully concerned about being taken seriously in this thread. Or is this just another troll thread aimed at another opportunity to laugh at everybody else, if not your defense of your topic is a little cute, in a silly sort of way.

It's actually very simple: I ask for substantive discussion in this thread, because it (and the 2014 version) were obviously designed specifically for that purpose. They are obviously unlike the rest of the forum and unlike how I and everyone else use the rest of the forum. It would be nice if every thread was used for serious, reality-based discussion but they aren't. I have no interest in dragging this forum towards that admittedly-low standard of content either; I prefer just to make good on the simple request to maintain a thread that can be used for serious discussion about elections that doesn't get bogged down with all the hurr-durr bullshit that everyone can find in literally every other thread on the forum.

The entire rest of the forum can be used for what I and the rest of the members tend to use it for. As I have said many times in many threads: I encourage it. It really shouldn't be too terribly difficult to comprehend that this thread is designed for a difficult type of discussion. It really should only need to be said about six or seven times until people can figure it out. There are surprisingly many people who want the type of political discussion that isn't happening on the rest of the forum. That's why they ask for these threads and it's why I make them, and why I expect the regular users here to be able to rub the two brain cells together necessary to recognize that they should leave well enough alone in these threads while they can continue to use the rest of the forum as we all do.

Can we have the bushes both killed as well for the same reason or do you always give republicans a pass

Cheney too...owait he could just take Bush1 and dubya hunting

the impact of the hispanic vote seems to get larger every year and it always leans left

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2014/10/17/how-to-understand-the-latino-vote-in-5-charts/