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Jun 6 2015 02:01am
hi im virgin. ok now that's out of the way...


Background

in a game called dungeon fighter online, i am playing my cute little girl elementalist (she is 12 years old, but i am not p3d0).

pic:



Scenario

i currently have 4 equips: top, bottom, helm, and gloves... all of which have the following stat:

'every attack has a 5% chance of casting super armor on yourself'


this effect is not additive (e.g. i do not have 20% chance of casting super armor on myself)

as a matter of fact... every item functions AS ITS OWN.


let us take for example...

i attacked, and 2 of my equips proc'd the super armor effect. that is essentially the same effect as only one of my equips proc'ing the super armor effect.

note: the 'super armor' buff allows my little cutie elementalist to not be interrupted by hostile attacks in middle of casting my spells, and therefore, it does not stack numerically. I either have 'super armor' or i don't.



so here is the following question:

with 4 equipped items with the stat 'every attack has a 5% chance of casting super armor on yourself', what is my ACTUAL chance of casting super armor on myself for each individual attack?




if your jsp acct is t9x, all of your posts will be invalid and ignored.
reason: http://forums.d2jsp.org/topic.php?t=72151487&f=27&o=80
on top of that, also bm as fk and follows me around like a little puppy.
everyone else can participate however :thumbsup:


Policies

  • 100 fg reward to the first correct UNEDITED answer.
  • I am all for discussion. I am also willing to chime in on the discussion.
  • If in the case where my own answer is actually wrong and proven wrong, the person who proved me wrong gets 200 fg. the original winner keeps his 100 fg. of course this won't be until the end, where i will post if there is a winner, and in the same post, explain the derivations and solution procedure. if that is proven wrong, then 200 fg to that lad :D
  • If you are an asian girl, I love you and you are hot.

Member
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Jun 6 2015 02:02am
tl:dr 20%
Member
Posts: 86,546
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Jun 6 2015 02:05am
Quote (Drunk_Klaus @ Jun 6 2015 03:02am)
tl:dr 20%


here is a tl:dr version:

hi im virgin.
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Jun 6 2015 02:05am
6.25%
Member
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Jun 6 2015 02:11am
http://study.com/academy/lesson/the-at-least-one-rule-for-independent-events.html

scroll down to the 'At Least One Rule'

The chance of a single armor not proccing is 0.95.
(0.95 * 0.95 * 0.95 *0.95) = 0.81450625 <-- the chance that none proc

The chance that at least one proc is the complement, or 18.549375%
Member
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Jun 6 2015 02:13am
18.549375%

Quote (kayeto @ Jun 6 2015 04:11am)
http://study.com/academy/lesson/the-at-least-one-rule-for-independent-events.html

scroll down to the 'At Least One Rule'

The chance of a single armor not proccing is 0.95.
(0.95 * 0.95 * 0.95 *0.95) = 0.81450625 <-- the chance that none proc

The chance that at least one proc is the complement, or 18.549375%


fack

This post was edited by Voyaging on Jun 6 2015 02:13am
Member
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Jun 6 2015 02:17am
i m p3d0

but i m 9

wat if u r a fugly asian girl?

This post was edited by Mikucon on Jun 6 2015 02:19am
Member
Posts: 86,546
Joined: May 13 2009
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Jun 6 2015 02:21am
Quote (kayeto @ Jun 6 2015 03:11am)
http://study.com/academy/lesson/the-at-least-one-rule-for-independent-events.html

scroll down to the 'At Least One Rule'

The chance of a single armor not proccing is 0.95.
(0.95 * 0.95 * 0.95 *0.95) = 0.81450625 <-- the chance that none proc

The chance that at least one proc is the complement, or 18.549375%


LMFAO

hej das cheating :(

will send right after this post.

since i already invested red + bold, i'll do a continuation.



New Problem Statement

Let us assume that:

i can attack 5 times per second.
the actual effect of each item is: 'every attack has a 5% chance of casting super armor on yourself for 5 seconds'

what are the chances of me sustaining super armor for 16 seconds exactly?
Member
Posts: 26,379
Joined: Feb 24 2011
Gold: 69.69
Jun 6 2015 02:25am
Quote (Firaga @ Jun 6 2015 07:21pm)
LMFAO

hej das cheating :(

will send right after this post.

since i already invested red + bold, i'll do a continuation.



New Problem Statement

Let us assume that:

i can attack 5 times per second.
the actual effect of each item is: 'every attack has a 5% chance of casting super armor on yourself for 5 seconds'

what are the chances of me sustaining super armor for 16 seconds exactly?


how do i even entropy?
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Jun 6 2015 02:30am
Too much writing for me
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