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Nov 19 2017 02:47pm
Obviously, any team that makes the playoffs has some chance to win. These are just some historical trends that make it look like it would be a major anomaly for the Eagles to win-

Since the 2002 realignment (beginning of our current format) there have been 15 Super Bowls:

The season prior to each Super Bowl Championship year:
No champion was coming off a losing season (Eagles are now)
13 out of 15 made the playoffs (Giants are the 2 that didn't)
8 out of 15 made the divisional round

The 3 seasons prior to their Super Bowl win:
No champion had two losing seasons out of the previous 3 years (Eagles have)
13 out of 15 had won at least 1 playoff game in the previous 3 years (Eagle haven't) (Giants, Saints are the 2 that didn't)

---The Eagles last playoff win was Jan 2009 (9 seasons ago). Only 3 teams since the merger have won a SB after 9 seasons without a playoff win ( '81 49ers, '83 Redskins, '99 Rams)---

Conclusion: This year's Eagles don't follow the trend of past SB champions who have had a trail of playoff success leading up to their SB season.

Those 2 Giants teams are the outliers. Without those, the correlation would be almost airtight.


****Disclaimer: I just looked this up on the fly so if I made a mistake somewhere, feel free to point it out.

This post was edited by Kayeto on Nov 19 2017 02:59pm
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Nov 19 2017 02:49pm
Oh you made a mistake alright buckaroo
You didn't pay what you owe
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Nov 19 2017 02:49pm
Eagles >
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Nov 19 2017 02:49pm
My eagles to win SB my 500 fg to your 5000 fg
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Nov 19 2017 02:50pm
There's a first for everything
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Nov 19 2017 02:50pm
Oh you made a mistake alright buckaroo
You didn't pay what you owe
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Nov 19 2017 02:50pm
Quote (Kayeto @ Nov 19 2017 12:47pm)
Obviously, any team that makes the playoffs has some chance to win. These are just some historical trends that make it look like it would be a major anomaly for the Eagles to win-

Since the 2002 realignment (beginning of our current format) there have been 15 Super Bowls:

The season prior to each Super Bowl Championship year:
No champion was coming off a losing season (Eagles are now)
13 out of 15 made the playoffs (Giants are the 2 that didn't)
8 out of 15 made the divisional round

The 3 seasons prior to their Super Bowl win:
No champion had two losing seasons out of the previous 3 years (Eagles have)
13 out of 15 had won at least 1 playoff game in the previous 3 years (Eagle haven't) (Giants, Saints are the 2 that didn't)

---The Eagles last playoff win was Jan 2009 (9 seasons ago). Only 3 teams since the merger have won a SB after 9 seasons without a playoff win ( '81 49ers, '83 Redskins, '99 Rams)---

Conclusion: The team that wins the SB tends to be a team that had some recent playoff success.

Those 2 Giants teams are the outliers. Without those, the correlation would be almost airtight.


****Disclaimer: I just looked this up on the fly so if I made a mistake somewhere, feel free to point it out.


No way?! :O

This post was edited by Vilify on Nov 19 2017 02:51pm
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Nov 19 2017 02:51pm
Eagles SB champs >
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Nov 19 2017 02:55pm
Quote (Vilify @ Nov 19 2017 04:50pm)
No way?! :O


hmm yea, now that I reread it, that was poorly worded. gonna change it. thanks
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